Monday, December 17, 2012

THE TENTH SON OF NOVEMBER 6TH


By Edwin Cooney

Monday night, August 12th, 1974 was a hot, sticky night in Washington, D.C. as Gerald Rudolph Ford, our newly minted president, stood for the first time before his many friends and colleagues in the 93rd Congress.  Jerry had something to confess that night, but since I’m writing this column and he’s not, I’m going to make my confessions first before relating what his confession was.  As much as I insist that memorizing dates isn’t essential to learning about or enjoying history, the truth is that I love dates.  Dates, the historical ones that is, are markers in the study and enjoyment of history that can lead a person, intellectually and emotionally, from one concept or story to another thus bringing history to life. Here are some examples:

As many of you are aware, presidential and midterm federal elections are by law held on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in every November of a year divisible by four, so there are eight dates in November on which we may elect a president.  The dates are November 2nd through November 8th.  Twelve years ago, which was five years before I began writing these weekly musings, I wrote an article that was never published called “The Seventh Son of November Seventh.”  It was about the possible fortune of George W. Bush, the candidate I had not voted for, as he prepared to take up his presidential duties on January 20th, 2001.

I speculated on his presidential future by comparing and contrasting the experiences of the six presidents who had preceded him to the White House who were elected on November 7th.  Four years ago, I wrote a column called “The Eighth Son of November 4th” in which I noted that, like five of his November 4th predecessors, Barack Obama as a presidential candidate represented a state other than his native one. I also did a little comparison of the events that had occurred during the administrations of Thomas Jefferson (1800), Andrew Jackson (1828), James Buchanan (1856), Grover Cleveland (1884), Calvin Coolidge (1924), Dwight Eisenhower (1956), and Ronald Reagan (1980), all men elected on a November 4th before President-elect Obama.

Today, approximately six weeks after his re-election by a vote of 65,599,965 to Mitt Romney’s 60,861,735, Barack Obama officially becomes the tenth president elected on November 6th.  In 1792, George Washington was re-elected president as was Thomas Jefferson on November 6th, 1804.  In 1832, it was Andrew Jackson’s turn to be re-elected president on November 6th.  On November 6th, 1860, Americans living north of the Mason-Dixon Line voted to give Abraham Lincoln a crack at being president after having served only one term as an Illinois Congressman from 1847 to 1849.  Benjamin Harrison in 1888 and Herbert Hoover in 1928 are the two lesser presidential lights against which President Obama may be linked as a son of November 6th.  However, William McKinley, Dwight Eisenhower and Ronald Reagan—-re-elected in 1900, 1956 and 1984 respectively—are indeed formidable acts to follow.  Jefferson, Jackson, Eisenhower and Reagan were generally regarded as less effective in their second terms than in their first four years, but some of that analysis is a bit partisan.

President Obama’s recent victory is in stark contrast to most people’s analyses just one year ago as to what was likely to happen in 2012.  The Republicans were covering their substantial ideological differences by asserting that it would be “…anybody but Obama in 2012.”  Conservative talk show hosts were asserting that no president with an unemployment level above seven percent had ever been re-elected. What they weren’t asserting however was that the unemployment rate in 1984 when Mr. Reagan sought re-election was 7.2 percent.  Still, the president prevailed on November 6th, 2012.  The rest, of course, is up to him.

If the legacies of seven of the nine men who preceded him after November 6th to Pennsylvania Avenue’s most famous address are any indication (Washington, Jefferson, Jackson, Lincoln, McKinley, Eisenhower, and Reagan), Barack Obama could have quite a successful second term.  However, if the performances of Benjamin Harrison and Herbert Hoover are the real indicator of the future, the president himself might wish he had rested on his laurels and taken a cushy job with a well-heeled liberal policy think-tank.

My second confession is that, fascinated as I am with dates, I didn’t realize that in 1788 George Washington wasn’t voted into office in November.  In the ten states that participated in our first presidential election, the voting took place between Monday, December 15th, 1788 and Saturday, January 10th, 1789.  Washington was unanimously elected with 69 electoral votes and received a popular vote of just 38,818 in the six states that held popular elections.  I wasn’t aware of that bit of historical date trivia until I began my research for this article. 

As for President Ford’s confession on that historic August night, it had to do with what we today call “earmarks.”  Looking over at House Speaker Carl Albert of Oklahoma, President Ford, who was about to ask a Democratic Congress to restrain its big spending habits, confessed that as a member of the House, he had often voted for worthwhile spending projects for his Grand Rapids, Michigan constituency while voting against “wasteful boondoggles" in Oklahoma.

If it can be argued that dates and circumstances are mere historic trivia, it can also be persuasively argued I believe that what often appears trivial may ultimately provide the key for making sense out of it all.

RESPECTFULLY SUBMITTED,
EDWIN COONEY

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